It’s got a lot of commentary and just to say that modelling is only one piece of information that we’re using to decide on these thresholds that we’re doing.
And there is going to be a lot of judgement as we get to low levels.
Clearly in regional Victoria at the moment, things are looking fairly good.
We’re not seeing many unknown source cases.
The cases that we have, we know where they are. Colac is probably a good example of this. There has been an outbreak, so one case that arrived in Colac resulted in 30 secondary cases.
But we know where they are. We think we’ve got that under control and they didn’t have any cases yesterday. But obviously a situation that we’re keeping a very close eye on and these are the sacked of factors that we’re going to look into as we make that judgement about whether we can transition to that third step to relax some of those restrictions.
But in terms of, you know, the five cases a day is not an absolute hard and fast rule and the date is not a hard and fast date.
We need to look at this every day. We’re going to look at, you know, the improvements that have been made to case management and contact management.
I thought I’d give you some comparisons about where other places were at a similar stage. So in New Zealand on 27 April, as they started to open up, they had 5 cases a day.
New South Wales on 15 May had 3.8 cases a day.
And in metropolitan Melbourne on 1 June, we had 6 cases a day, but we had more unknown-source cases at that time.
So really this points to that we need a substantially lower number of cases than we have at the moment but we are getting there. You know, it wasn’t that long ago that we were talking about 500 and 700 cases a day and now we’re at 51 cases for yesterday.
